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2024 Presidential Forecast
This forecast is no longer being updated, with the final update on November 4th, 2024.
Notes: For predicted margins, negative values means that the Republican is favored, positive values mean the Democrat is favored. Not all elections are listed, only the most competitive elections are listed. All elections not listed are projected to be Solid for the incumbent party.
State of the Race
53.81%
Democrat Probability
46.12%
Republican Probability
276 - 262
Predicted Result
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