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2024 Senate Forecast
This forecast is no longer being updated, with the final update on November 4th, 2024.
Notes: For predicted margins, negative values means that the Republican is favored, positive values mean the Democrat is favored. Not all elections are listed, only the most competitive elections are listed. All elections not listed are projected to be Solid for the incumbent party. For elections listed with an asterisk, an independent expected to caucus with the Democrats is projected to finish in the top 2, and the Margin and Dem Probability represents them.
State of the Race
7.59%
Democrat Probability
92.41%
Republican Probability
49 - 51
Predicted Result
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